first_imgAt this point it’s really hard to pick Kevin Harvick to win a race.The 43-year-old, however, comes into this weekend’s Toyota/Save Mart 350 favored to win at Sonoma Raceway with 7/2 odds. This is the first road course of the NASCAR season and the most technical. It’s a track where Harvick has won once, and he has four-straight top 6s there. The more technical of NASCAR’s two traditional road courses (Watkins Glen), the 2.52-mile track in California is a race where Harvick is comfortable. It’s also a track that has more to do with how good a driver is rather than how fast his car is.Maybe that’s the recipe to get Harvick’s first win this season. But the 2014 Cup Series champion has been open in saying he is beyond frustrated with his season as his team continues to come up short at the end of races.It’s really, really hard to pick him to win at this point — so we won’t. This weekend, we are actually picking Clint Bowyer to win. He has a victory at Sonoma Raceway in his career (2012) and has finished inside the top 10 in seven of his last 10 races at the track. He also has five top 10s in his last 10 attempts at Watkins Glen. Bowyer doesn’t have a win yet this season, but we’re picking him to take home his first victory this weekend.The Toyota/Save Mart 350 takes place Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on FS1.What are the betting odds for Sonoma?Kevin Harvick 7/2Martin Truex Jr. 9/2Clint Bowyer 6/1Kyle Busch 6/1Chase Elliott 6/1Kurt Busch 10/1Joey Logano 10/1Denny Hamlin 14/1Brad Keselowski 18/1Jimmie Johnson 25/1Ryan Blaney 25/1Daniel Suarez 25/1Erik Jones 40/1Kyle Larson 40/1Aric Almirola 60/1Daniel Hemric 60/1Chris Buescher 100/1Alex Bowman 100/1Michael McDowell 100/1Ryan Newman 100/1Paul Menard 100/1William Byron 100/1Matt Tifft 300/1Austin Dillon 300/1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 500/1Matt DiBenedetto 500/1Ryan Preece 1000/1David Ragan 2000/1Ty Dillon 2000/1Field (all others) 300/1Which NASCAR drivers should you watch at the Toyota/Save Mart 350?Kyle Busch has two career wins and four top 7s in a row at Sonoma Raceway. He’s also one of the — if not the best — drivers in NASCAR. The technicality of Sonoma plays right into his hands. Chase Elliott doesn’t have a long track record at Sonoma, but he has a good one with fourth- and eighth-place finishes at the track in his last two times out. He also earned a win at Watkins Glen last season, so he seems to like this road racing thing.Jimmie Johnson was as good as any driver at Sonoma from 2009-15. He finished in the top 10 in every race over that course of time, and while he hasn’t been as good of late, he still hasn’t finished below 13th at the race in his last three years.One sleeper for the Toyota/Save Mart 350Erik Jones is similar to Elliott in that he doesn’t have a long road course record, but he does have a solid one. He finished seventh at Sonoma last season and has fifth, and 10th-place finishes at Watkins Glen in his career. He also earned an eighth-place finish at Watkins Glen in the Xfinity Series.last_img

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